By Kalvin H
Week 2 Record: 3-0-0
Overall Record: 7-2-0
WHOOOOOO!!!! My first 3-0 week! Week 3 seemed very easy, almost too easy and I’m hoping I don’t experience a huge let down in Week 4. In past seasons, it’s been difficult to hit perfect weeks so early because teams are still trying to find themselves and you think a team is good or bad, but really they’re not. In the 2020 season, though, it’s very easy to tell who is good and who isn’t and with limited preparation things will likely stay the way they are. You can really see the teams that focused on execution and making sure everyone was on the same page versus the teams that tried to have business as usual and didn’t change their preparation plans at all and thought once the ball is snapped, players will figure it out. The only team I’m lost on right now is New Orleans, on paper they should be much better. They are a team that is notorious for their preparation and they didn’t have too much roster or coaching staff turn over, but they have just looked slow over the past two weeks. Maybe Brees is actually washed (I don’t think so) or maybe the Michale Thomas’s absence has had a bigger effect than originally thought or maybe the defense is still trying to find its place or maybe it’s all three, I don’t know, but they definitely need to turn it around if they are going to fulfill my Super Bowl pick. The slate for week 4 is actually pretty difficult, there are a lot of bigger spreads that I’m not too sure of and some home underdogs (usually something great to lean into) that are shaky at best.
Chicago (+3) vs Indianapolis
Chicago pulled the trigger on replacing Mitchell Trubisky with Nick Foles against Atlanta in Week 3 and Nick Foles led a comeback for the win. Are we sure Trubisky couldn’t have led this comeback, though? At this point anyone can lead a comeback win against Atlanta and it feels more like Foles was in the right place at the right time rather than actually accomplishing anything. It will be interesting to see what Foles can do in his first start against Indianapolis. Indianapolis hasn’t really shown anything that says they should be favored by 3 on the road, either. They’ve won 2 games but their offense is slow and they lost one of Phillip Rivers’s favorite weapons in Michael Pittman Jr last week. Chicago’s defense can surely create pressure on Rivers and make him uncomfortable and their offense is good enough to score a few times. This is a very tough call, so in tough calls it’s best to take the home underdog and the points.
Tampa Bay (-7.5) vs LA Chargers
Justin Herbert came out on fire against Kansas City in Week 2, but came back down to earth a bit in Week 3. Regardless of how poorly he played throughout the game in Week 3, he still had his team in a position to comeback late and that’s not easy. The Chargers really drew up a perfect play and executed it 97% perfectly, the problem is that 3% was Austin Ekeler catching the lateral on the Hook and Ladder and running it in. Tampa Bay is on the other side, they have looked better and better with each passing week, and Week 4 should be no different. Tampa is a team that’s going to keep looking better until they don’t. There’s a chance that one small thing could throw them totally off kilter, but it hasn’t happened yet and won’t happen soon. The Tampa defense is also sneakily very good with a ton of talent all over the field. Look for them to cause problems for Herbert and Herbert to make some bad plays because of it (this is actually my least favorite pick this week, if LA can move the ball, this could turn into a shootout and that would make it a tough cover at 7.5 points, but it’s still much better than a lot of other options out there).
Las Vegas (+3) vs Buffalo
Another home underdog that probably shouldn’t be. Las Vegas is 2-1 and the 1 loss is to the Patriots with a tough “trap game” type of a matchup. Belichick is very good at finding those little advantages and exploiting them where they mean the most, there’s nothing that has shown that Sean McDermott is that type of coach. Buffalo is a good team and Josh Allen has done some amazing things leading them to a 3-0 start, but they almost blew the week 3 game and needed a lot of help from penalties and bad plays from LA to not completely blow it. It doesn’t make sense that they should be favored on the road against a 2-1 team, if Las Vegas had a worse record, maybe. But Vegas hasn’t really shown any huge flaws yet, whereas Buffalo almost blowing that lead in week 3 is a huge red flag. Vegas dismantled New Orleans in week 2 and handled business on the road in Week 1 against Carolina, they even hung with New England for awhile in week 3. Despite their records, Vegas is a better team than Buffalo.